A fantastic slate of games this weekend, with only one game that seems to have a clear favorite (Florida over Oregon). Here are summaries of the more in-depth analysis found in our game previews, along with a couple stat-based predictions.

Saturday, 4:40 PM: Ohio St. vs. Memphis

Not many turnovers or fouls (but if there are, advantage goes to Memphis), a lot of missed shots, and a close game in the 60’s. Both of Ohio State’s last 2 opponents had them on the ropes but didn’t know how to finish the fight. Memphis has won 25 straight games - they know how to finish.

Saturday, 7:05 PM: Kansas vs. UCLA

A defensive battle, similar to both teams’ games from last round. Despite UCLA’s stellar defense, Kansas should find it almost a relief to face them, after facing such physical perimeter D against Southern Illinois. They’ll need to maintain their hot shooting to advance, as UCLA will likely have the rebounding advantage.

Sunday, 2:40 PM: Florida vs. Oregon

Probably the highest scoring Elite 8 game. Florida should have the advantage in rebounding, and neither team should turn it over a whole lot. Florida will be able to score, and this should come down to whether Oregon can hit their 3-pt shots. Florida’s 3-pt defense is 2nd-best in the country, so the Ducks are probably headed home.

Sunday, 5:05 PM: North Carolina vs. Georgetown

Drastic clash of tempos, that will probably be played at a middle-ground speed. Both teams have great offenses, but Carolina’s defense has been playing just a touch better. And if the refs call it tight, UNC has the depth to withstand foul trouble better than Georgetown. As has been the pattern in the past 2 rounds, this should come down to the wire.


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    Game Previews

  • Florida - Ohio St. Preview

    • Florida enters the National Championship game off of a terrifically impressive offensive performance against UCLA. The Bruins reached the Final ...

  • Florida - UCLA Preview

    • UCLA will have a more difficult defensive task facing Florida than they did in the regional final against Kansas. Florida, ...

  • Ohio St. - Georgetown Preview

    • Per Ken Pomeroy’s HD boxscores (and barring errors in my calculations), in the NCAA Tournament Ohio ...

  • Florida - Oregon Preview

    • Over the last 7 games, Oregon has averaged an eFG% of 59.5%, while holding their opponents to 45.2%. Compare ...

  • North Carolina - Georgetown Preview

    • The first thing that jumps out at me about this matchup is the difference in tempos - UNC is the ...

  • Ohio St. - Memphis Preview

    • There’s a very good chance that this game (though it will likely be played at a faster pace, and thus, ...

  • Kansas - UCLA Preview

    • This should look a whole lot like the previous round games for these teams. UCLA is playing the best ...

  • Georgetown - Vanderbilt Preview

    • These two teams played way back on November 15th. It was the first game of the season for Vanderbilt, ...

  • North Carolina - USC Preview

    • So far USC has been the most impressive team in the tournament. Their offense has been on par with ...

  • Florida - Butler Preview

    • There are a lot of parallels between the Florida - Butler matchup and the Kansas - Southern Illinois matchup. ...

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