Archive for the 'Boston College' Category

Saturday Viewing Guide

Mar 17, 2007 in monologue, Butler, Maryland, VCU, Pittsburgh, Indiana, UCLA, North Carolina, Michigan St., Vanderbilt, Washington St., Boston College, Georgetown, Ohio St., Xavier, Louisville, Texas A&M, Viewing Guide

1:10 PM: #1 Ohio St. vs. #9 Xavier
Both teams played well, but not spectacular, in their first round games. Xavier’s only player over 6′9″ averages less than 2 minutes per game, so Greg Oden should be able to control the game. All the numbers say this should be a fairly low scoring, close […]

1

Georgetown - Boston College Preview

Over the past 10 games, Boston College’s tempo has been lower than their season average, and it’s been trending downward. Against Georgetown, they’re going to want to reverse that trend, because the Hoyas’ offense is at its most efficient when they take their time. So their slightly faster pace against Texas Tech was a good sign. Their poor defense against the Red Raiders, however, was not.

Georgetown’s win over Belmont doesn’t tell us much, but it does continue their run of very solid performances. 12 of their past 13 games have garnered overall ratings higher than .95, which ought to be enough to beat Boston College most nights.

1st ROUND GAME ADJ. EFFICIENCY

  Tempo Offense Defense Overall
Georgetown 60.4 132.8 90.3 0.9883
Boston College 67.1 136.9 103.2 0.9626

EFFICIENCY PREDICTIONS

  • Full Season Prediction … Georgetown 69, Boston College 61
  • Last 10 Prediction … Georgetown 66, Boston College 56
  • Vs. Good Prediction … Georgetown 68, Boston College 60
  • Trendline Prediction … Georgetown 67, Boston College 57
  • Best 6 Prediction … Georgetown 69, Boston College 62

UPDATED GRAPHS

Georgetown team capsule

Boston College team capsule

0

Boston College - Texas Tech Preview

EFFICIENCY PREDICTIONS

  • Full Season Prediction … Boston College 72, Texas Tech 69
  • Last 10 Prediction … Boston College 69, Texas Tech 62
  • Vs. Good Prediction … Boston College 70, Texas Tech 66
  • Trendline Prediction … Boston College 64, Texas Tech 56
  • Best 6 Prediction … Boston College 66, Texas Tech 64

explanation

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 64.7 48 118.9 10 96.7 48 .9150 34
Vs. Good 64.3 47 118.6 16 96.1 45 .9182 32
Trendline 57.3 62 115.3 31 98.5 45 .8597 42
Last 10 60.5 60 121.7 9 98.4 47 .9197 29
Best 6 67.3 25 119.9 26 87.9 34 .9724 29

The big story for Boston College this year was Sean Williams getting kicked off the team for his shenanigans. As you might expect, losing a player who averaged 5 a ridiculous 5 blocks per game severely handicapped BC’s defense, and essentially eliminated any chance they had of being an elite team. Here are efficiency splits (offense/defense/overall) related to the absence of Williams (and Dudley):

  • missing Dudley … 109.3 / 111.9 / .4328
  • missing Williams … 119.6 / 99.8 / .8886
  • missing neither … 119.0 / 89.8 / .9621

Without Williams, the offense must shoulder the entire load. It looked at first as if they might be OK, but the offense has sputtered in the past few games, and the outlook isn’t rosy heading into the tourney.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

BOSTON COLLEGE PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
Rice 90.3 52.8 78.1 1.18 28.6 9.2 5.6 0.4 2.1 3.2 7.4
Dudley 86.4 62.1 74.7 1.34 30.0 4.8 4.2 0.6 2.1 10.3 15.1
Marshall 80.6 51.2 68.5 1.08 27.6 3.6 4.1 0.4 2.1 6.5 9.8
Spears 53.0 55.8 75.6 1.25 20.1 2.4 4.7 0.5 1.2 12.2 13.4
Oates 49.1 42.0 73.5 0.92 13.4 2.4 2.6 1.2 1.0 5.0 15.0
Haynes 42.8 50.9 56.0 1.04 13.9 6.0 4.4 0.5 1.6 2.2 5.8
Blair 35.8 48.9 60.4 1.10 9.9 0.8 2.3 7.6 0.5 5.8 13.7
Roche 19.2 43.4 55.6 0.91 9.6 3.0 2.5 0.0 1.5 6.6 12.0

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 65.7 41 112.3 37 96.3 46 .8530 43
Vs. Good 64.7 42 112.5 38 96.8 50 .8497 45
Trendline 63.0 48 107.1 51 104.4 56 .5742 58
Last 10 63.5 47 112.0 43 101.1 52 .7661 50
Best 6 62.5 55 118.1 29 89.4 42 .9611 41

Texas Tech is one of the most confusing teams in the tournament. They can truly beat anyone or lose to anyone, as evidenced by one of the weirdest 8-game stretches in recent memory. They went 3-5 from January 20th to February 13th. The 5 losses: Missouri, Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Oklahoma St. The 3 wins: Kansas, Texas A&M, Texas A&M. That inconsistency shows up in the graph. They’re not playing so hot entering the tournament, but in their case, that doesn’t seem to matter.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

TEXAS TECH PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
Jackson 94.2 51.5 78.9 1.14 32.2 2.8 2.2 0.0 2.2 3.2 7.5
Zeno 88.0 51.0 78.8 1.18 28.1 5.5 4.6 0.5 2.2 4.1 14.4
Burgess 71.9 50.9 72.2 1.11 17.5 5.0 4.1 0.2 1.7 4.3 12.0
Dora 42.1 51.9 74.1 1.09 17.2 5.1 3.3 1.7 0.5 5.5 12.8
Plefka 39.5 50.7 73.3 1.12 21.0 2.3 1.8 1.4 1.0 7.0 15.0
Voskuil 33.8 55.9 88.0 1.22 15.7 3.6 1.7 0.0 2.4 4.1 8.5
D White 30.2 54.3 57.1 1.11 19.5 2.4 4.4 0.8 1.8 10.1 9.8
Prince 28.8 39.3 63.6 0.88 9.2 4.1 3.2 0.8 3.8 7.6 14.1
Suljagic 20.5 39.0 44.0 0.83 9.5 2.7 4.0 1.3 2.0 7.7 16.2

    Game Previews

  • Florida - Ohio St. Preview

    • Florida enters the National Championship game off of a terrifically impressive offensive performance against UCLA. The Bruins reached the Final ...

  • Florida - UCLA Preview

    • UCLA will have a more difficult defensive task facing Florida than they did in the regional final against Kansas. Florida, ...

  • Ohio St. - Georgetown Preview

    • Per Ken Pomeroy’s HD boxscores (and barring errors in my calculations), in the NCAA Tournament Ohio ...

  • Florida - Oregon Preview

    • Over the last 7 games, Oregon has averaged an eFG% of 59.5%, while holding their opponents to 45.2%. Compare ...

  • North Carolina - Georgetown Preview

    • The first thing that jumps out at me about this matchup is the difference in tempos - UNC is the ...

  • Ohio St. - Memphis Preview

    • There’s a very good chance that this game (though it will likely be played at a faster pace, and thus, ...

  • Kansas - UCLA Preview

    • This should look a whole lot like the previous round games for these teams. UCLA is playing the best ...

  • Georgetown - Vanderbilt Preview

    • These two teams played way back on November 15th. It was the first game of the season for Vanderbilt, ...

  • North Carolina - USC Preview

    • So far USC has been the most impressive team in the tournament. Their offense has been on par with ...

  • Florida - Butler Preview

    • There are a lot of parallels between the Florida - Butler matchup and the Kansas - Southern Illinois matchup. ...

Subscribe to HTB

Latest Entries

Archives

Categories