Archive for the 'Creighton' Category

Upsets By The Numbers

Mar 14, 2007 in monologue, Winthrop, Niagara, Arizona, Purdue, Notre Dame, TAMUCC, Virginia Tech, Illinois, VCU, Pittsburgh, Wright St., North Carolina, Eastern Kentucky, USC, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, George Washington, Georgetown, Belmont, Virginia, Albany, Stanford, Nevada, Creighton, Game-Probability Predictions, Trendline Analysis

When I fill out a bracket for an NCAA tournament pool (entered for pride only, no $$ exchanged of course), I’m obviously hoping in vain to get every game right. Not gonna happen. I have two other main goals (besides winning the pool): picking the Final Four correctly, and calling the first round […]

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Nevada - Creighton Preview

EFFICIENCY PREDICTIONS

  • Full Season Prediction … Creighton 70, Nevada 67
  • Last 10 Prediction … Creighton 72, Nevada 67
  • Vs. Good Prediction … Creighton 69, Nevada 68
  • Trendline Prediction … Creighton 74, Nevada 65
  • Best 6 Prediction … Creighton 70, Nevada 66

explanation

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 67.2 32 116.8 20 99.7 54 .8610 42
Vs. Good 66.0 35 119.1 14 99.3 57 .8908 39
Trendline 69.5 9 116.2 27 97.1 38 .8867 34
Last 10 65.9 30 119.7 18 102.1 54 .8625 42
Best 6 70.1 8 117.9 31 96.9 54 .9056 48

Senior point guard Kyle Shiloh, Nevada’s best on-the-ball defender, is expected back for their first round game, after missing the WAC championship game with a hamstring injury. This is great news for the Wolfpack, as the game he missed was their worst outing in the last 7 games. Nevada’s tempo is trending upwards, which could be a good sign for them, as their best 6-game stretch was played at a faster pace than most of their other games.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
Kemp 76.8 54.9 79.0 1.17 35.5 4.6 5.5 0.3 1.3 3.8 12.0
Sessions 74.7 47.7 83.5 1.12 24.7 9.3 5.0 0.4 1.8 4.9 13.3
Shiloh 71.0 56.4 69.6 1.18 20.0 6.7 3.5 0.3 2.5 4.9 8.1
Fazekas 70.0 60.7 84.0 1.30 40.3 3.4 3.7 2.8 1.5 12.6 29.0
Ikovlev 62.5 63.2 75.0 1.30 16.0 2.2 1.8 1.4 0.9 7.8 9.5
Burleson 37.0 43.1 70.0 0.91 7.4 8.3 3.4 0.3 3.2 1.1 5.5
Ellis 28.9 47.4 86.7 1.05 11.2 1.7 1.8 3.0 0.7 5.6 11.7
McGee 25.5 64.5 48.4 1.26 19.6 0.8 4.3 5.0 0.6 12.0 12.6
Fields 20.6 44.5 56.3 0.93 15.4 5.6 3.7 0.0 2.1 4.8 9.1
Hanson 18.0 58.8 0.0 1.15 12.6 3.7 1.9 1.6 1.3 2.3 9.4
LaGrone 13.0 50.0 20.0 0.89 7.4 0.7 5.2 0.0 0.4 13.3 21.6

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 63.7 53 114.1 32 91.5 26 .9270 29
Vs. Good 62.6 58 114.6 32 94.0 34 .9073 35
Trendline 64.8 39 115.3 32 85.0 9 .9710 9
Last 10 63.6 45 114.8 34 91.4 24 .9327 23
Best 6 60.9 59 116.0 38 88.6 39 .9567 44

Other than a slow start to the season, Creighton’s offense has been fairly consistent. Their defense has improved from its nonconference levels, but has hit a couple of speed bumps along the way. After the first bad stretch (4 games from Dec 22 to Jan 1), the defense got their act together and had 11 straight good games. That lasted until their second bad stretch began (5 games from Feb 7 to 20). Since then, they’ve had good defensive efforts in a row. Hopefully for the Bluejays, those continue in the NCAA tournament, because they’re 5-5 in subpar defensive games, 17-5 otherwise.

CREIGHTON PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
Funk 85.5 54.5 86.7 1.21 33.2 5.7 4.1 0.2 2.3 2.9 9.9
Tolliver 79.0 51.7 65.9 1.13 27.4 4.0 4.2 3.6 1.5 9.4 17.2
Watts 70.0 55.4 72.2 1.18 23.2 2.0 3.0 0.6 1.5 8.6 19.6
Porter 69.0 47.4 80.6 1.18 24.8 5.8 5.3 0.1 2.5 8.1 17.0
Miles 54.5 49.4 76.7 1.07 17.7 5.0 3.3 0.1 2.9 3.9 8.5
Dotzler 38.2 28.8 86.7 0.86 7.4 6.9 6.3 0.3 2.9 1.1 4.5
Bahe 37.7 60.4 60.0 1.22 13.3 4.2 3.6 0.0 1.5 5.7 9.7
Hibma 29.7 48.1 75.0 0.99 9.0 2.0 2.6 0.5 1.7 5.8 9.1
Gakou 14.2 42.9 50.0 0.92 11.7 0.4 4.6 0.0 0.4 8.6 9.5

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