EFFICIENCY PREDICTIONS

• Full Season Prediction … Georgia Tech 73, UNLV 68
• Last 10 Prediction … Georgia Tech 70, UNLV 64
• Vs. Good Prediction … Georgia Tech 72, UNLV 68
• Trendline Prediction … Georgia Tech 72, UNLV 70
• Best 6 Prediction … Georgia Tech 63, UNLV 61

explanation

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

UNLV’s had a couple of their best games defensively recently, and their offense is doing about as well as it has all year. They’re not very consistent on either end of the court, though, so how they’ll play in the tournament is a mystery to me. Their stat averages say they should be somewhere in the 7 to 10 range. 4 of their last 7 games have been NCAA-quality (over .95), so they’ve got a decent chance of moving to the next round.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

PLAYER STATS

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

The trendlines for Georgia Tech look exactly the same, but if you look closer at the individual points, a slightly different picture is painted (one that’s prettier to Tech fans). The offense is in the midst of its best run of the season, with adjusted efficiencies better than 115 in 10 of the past 11 games. The defense, meanwhile, is only trending up because of their last game, an inexplicable loss to Wake Forest. Notice that the last game they played so badly on defense was also against Wake. Those 2 games are by far their worst defensive efforts in the past 23 games, so perhaps Wake presents unique matchup problems for Tech. Take out those two aberrations, and the Yellow Jacket defense looks much better. According to the ratings, they’re 4 to 6 seed quality, yet they’re slotted in at #10. They are a prime candidate to pull off a couple of upsets and make the Sweet 16.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

GEORGIA TECH PLAYER STATS