Archive for the 'Long Beach St.' Category

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Tennessee - Long Beach St. Preview

EFFICIENCY PREDICTIONS

  • Full Season Prediction … Tennessee 91, Long Beach St. 78
  • Last 10 Prediction … Tennessee 95, Long Beach St. 78
  • Vs. Good Prediction … Tennessee 89, Long Beach St. 68
  • Trendline Prediction … Tennessee 95, Long Beach St. 79
  • Best 6 Prediction … Tennessee 84, Long Beach St. 71

explanation

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 72.5 4 115.1 24 93.0 29 .9210 33
Vs. Good 71.4 7 115.1 29 92.9 28 .9211 31
Trendline 69.2 11 115.1 34 88.4 15 .9545 16
Last 10 69.6 5 119.2 21 93.3 27 .9437 21
Best 6 70.0 10 120.6 24 91.6 47 .9595 43

That dip you see in the middle of Tennessee’s offensive graph came with Chris Lofton out. Since his return, the offense has been fine, and the defense is playing as well as it has at any point this year (the SEC tournament loss to LSU notwithstanding). Neither unit is very consistent, though - their longest streak with both the offense and defense playing better than average was 4 games - the last 4. That streak will have to continue in order for Tennessee to make any noise in the tournament.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
J Smith 71.7 55.3 72.3 1.16 28.3 2.5 3.6 0.5 4.1 5.9 11.5
Bradshaw 68.5 39.4 56.3 0.86 11.0 9.0 3.5 0.8 4.0 4.3 12.8
R Smith 66.3 45.5 66.7 1.02 21.2 6.2 5.2 0.4 2.3 3.6 10.6
Lofton 63.9 60.4 80.1 1.30 38.2 3.2 3.2 0.3 2.7 4.0 7.5
Crews 49.3 52.0 59.6 1.09 23.3 1.7 4.5 2.7 1.8 12.6 15.5
Chism 48.5 48.2 59.6 1.02 25.1 2.5 3.8 1.8 1.8 10.7 20.7
Tabb 43.6 56.3 33.3 1.11 10.9 3.4 3.8 0.2 2.4 8.4 11.4
Childress 38.3 50.4 53.4 1.04 18.9 3.0 3.4 1.6 2.4 10.2 18.3
Howell 33.7 49.4 68.4 1.04 11.9 4.4 2.4 0.0 1.4 1.4 6.5

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 72.0 5 109.8 46 105.0 61 .6270 56
Vs. Good 76.8 1 91.2 63 96.0 44 .3576 60
Trendline 75.1 1 116.4 25 107.7 61 .7079 54
Last 10 71.9 1 114.4 36 108.9 62 .6377 57
Best 6 69.8 13 108.4 54 97.7 56 .7671 58

The offense and defense for Long Beach State have followed nearly the same track over the year, which indicates a tendency to let up on one end when they’re performing well on the other. They don’t have the killer instinct necessary for championship teams. Of course, they also don’t have the required skill, so it’s kind of a moot point. A 12-seed seems ridiculously high to me, and I see no reason to think they’ll prove the selection committee right. Take a look at their ratings against good teams - not good at all.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

LONG BEACH STATE PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
Nixon 83.1 48.9 74.4 1.07 30.7 5.2 4.6 0.5 2.2 3.9 12.9
Houston 80.3 53.2 69.9 1.14 20.3 7.5 4.7 0.2 2.0 2.8 7.2
Byrd 76.4 57.3 73.3 1.20 25.1 2.1 2.9 1.0 2.0 7.5 17.3
Johnson 65.5 49.8 84.8 1.11 25.9 6.2 5.0 0.3 3.0 2.7 10.6
Ricks 55.1 64.4 48.5 1.26 18.4 1.3 1.9 1.2 2.8 14.1 14.8
Darby 43.3 48.7 69.5 1.08 16.5 3.3 2.9 0.3 1.8 4.1 11.1
Dawson 37.8 57.7 54.8 1.16 19.3 0.8 3.4 3.3 1.3 11.3 16.4

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