Archive for the 'Miami (OH)' Category

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Oregon - Miami (OH) Preview

EFFICIENCY PREDICTIONS

  • Full Season Prediction … Oregon 65, Miami (OH) 57
  • Last 10 Prediction … Oregon 62, Miami (OH) 54
  • Vs. Good Prediction … Oregon 63, Miami (OH) 55
  • Trendline Prediction … Oregon 60, Miami (OH) 49
  • Best 6 Prediction … Oregon 59, Miami (OH) 48

explanation

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 67.0 34 118.8 12 93.0 29 .9430 21
Vs. Good 64.5 45 122.1 8 95.8 42 .9423 22
Trendline 62.2 54 127.7 4 87.9 13 .9866 3
Last 10 63.5 46 121.2 11 93.6 30 .9512 17
Best 6 62.2 56 129.8 8 90.0 45 .9854 15

Oregon is one of the hottest teams in the country, the hottest in the Midwest region according to the trendline stats. The offense continues to climb, and their defense is back to early season form. Believe it or not, Oregon is very similar to last year’s Florida team:

  • Make it to conference play undefeated? Check.
  • Lose first conference game against a top-50 opponent? Check.
  • 3 game losing streak late in conference play? Check.
  • Finish in a three-way tie for third? Check.
  • Win conference tournament? Check
  • Best 4-game stretch (ratings-wise) comes in last 4 pre-NCAA-tourney games? Check.
  • Get #3 seed in tournament? Check.
  • Get to play close to home in first 2 rounds? Check.
  • Draw a pod with a popular 11-over-6 upset pick? Check.
  • Top-20 offense? Check.
  • Top-20 defense? NOOOOOOOOO.

Only a top-50 defense. Sorry Ducks fans.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
Brooks 85.7 54.7 82.9 1.19 28.8 7.1 4.2 0.3 2.2 4.7 11.9
Taylor 81.3 60.1 83.5 1.31 27.1 3.2 2.7 0.3 1.9 6.0 11.1
Leunen 79.7 53.1 78.1 1.17 20.2 4.1 2.9 1.2 2.8 9.3 22.5
Porter 74.2 55.4 91.7 1.19 27.2 4.0 4.9 0.0 1.6 1.6 5.2
Hairston 50.0 58.6 54.4 1.18 23.1 4.8 3.6 1.3 1.2 10.9 13.9
Oguchi 37.4 39.9 84.6 0.87 18.3 2.9 3.9 0.5 2.6 5.0 7.6
Catron 29.8 42.4 50.8 0.92 15.5 3.5 3.9 0.5 2.6 11.7 18.4
Zahn 21.1 48.5 66.7 1.04 17.2 1.1 3.6 0.2 1.9 9.3 16.9

ADJUSTED GAME EFFICIENCY DATA

  Tempo Rnk Offense Rnk Defense Rnk Overall Rnk
Overall 59.2 65 104.0 55 95.0 40 .7410 49
Vs. Good 58.4 65 103.4 54 93.9 33 .7531 51
Trendline 54.3 65 112.3 40 95.3 30 .8681 39
Last 10 57.0 65 109.2 49 96.5 38 .8071 46
Best 6 60.7 61 95.5 65 81.6 9 .8581 54

Miami’s offense has undergone consistent improvemen throughout the year, and 10 out of their last 12 games have been above average. Their defense had been getting worse at the same rate, making me wonder if the changes were actually do to errors in the possession data, but recently the D has slightly improved. This is a team trending in the right direction and peaking at the right time. Unfortunately for them, they’re up against one of the hottest teams in the field in Oregon.

Points, assists, turnovers, blocks, and steals listed per 100 individual possessions

PLAYER STATS

Name %Min eFG% FT% PPWS Pts A TO BS S OR% DR%
T Pollitz 87.9 57.2 65.1 1.17 32.5 3.4 5.8 1.2 2.1 8.5 13.7
Peavy 84.2 57.1 73.6 1.24 30.3 2.0 4.0 2.6 1.5 6.2 19.1
Bramos 79.2 48.7 83.2 1.10 24.9 5.2 4.5 2.7 3.3 3.9 12.4
Moosmann 63.6 51.7 84.6 1.11 12.6 7.8 5.5 0.0 1.3 0.4 5.6
Penno 59.6 46.9 85.3 1.03 15.4 6.4 3.2 0.3 2.6 1.2 9.1
St. Clair 45.1 37.4 47.8 0.77 12.4 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.5 6.0 15.4
Dierkers 34.6 51.8 55.0 1.06 11.3 5.5 4.5 1.6 2.8 8.2 16.9
E Pollitz 26.6 50.5 60.0 1.06 11.6 3.6 7.6 1.3 0.6 7.1 13.5

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